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Red387
2928139.7
2412145.4
1294107.3
Blue216
4309129.7
5827120.5
7118104.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343254100200300400500600700800387216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#17
145.41.6
147.4145.8
Auto15.2
Teleop109.2
End20.7
red by 15.7
4309
#12
129.70.6
130.8130.3
Auto18.2
Teleop88.9
End23.8
Second
139.73.3
128.7132.0
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
red by 19.2
5827
#14
120.50.8
120.8119.9
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
Third
1294
#16
107.30.6
106.4105.9
Auto15.0
Teleop79.1
End14.7
red by 2.9
7118
#34
104.40.4
105.0104.6
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed