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Red157
492140.9
3268118.8
468193.0
Blue401
1258112.6
949109.4
4911177.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593220100200400500600700157401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#24
140.90.1
143.7143.6
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
blue by 36.5
177.51.0
173.7174.6
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
Second
3268
#22
118.80.1
120.2120.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.0
End5.1
red by 6.2
1258
#27
112.62.8
116.2113.4
Auto15.4
Teleop88.5
End11.7
Third
4681
#30
93.02.1
88.190.2
Auto15.1
Teleop71.5
End9.6
blue by 16.4
949
#32
109.42.5
103.8106.3
Auto16.8
Teleop79.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed