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Red205
4173117.2
5941111.2
3070141.1
Blue432
4205123.5
4488170.2
4077151.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433710100200300500600700800205432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#18
141.10.1
140.8140.8
Auto21.6
Teleop102.0
End16.6
blue by 29.1
170.20.4
164.3164.7
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
4173
#21
117.20.9
113.6114.5
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End14.1
blue by 34.1
151.30.9
146.1147.0
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
Third
5941
#25
111.20.3
112.8112.5
Auto13.4
Teleop87.7
End9.1
blue by 12.3
4205
#26
123.50.7
123.6122.9
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed