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Red424
4060120.7
2910199.2
2930162.1
Blue228
5683117.4
4512126.2
4450168.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421268100200500600700800424228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.22.9
187.1190.1
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 30.7
4450
#13
168.51.2
165.3166.4
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
2930
#10
162.10.9
157.4158.3
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
red by 35.9
4512
#33
126.21.1
123.1124.2
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
Third
4060
#19
120.70.8
116.5117.3
Auto17.1
Teleop93.9
End11.4
red by 3.3
5683
#23
117.40.0
116.8116.7
Auto18.5
Teleop86.1
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed