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Red153
5941111.2
492140.9
4682114.3
Blue389
2903130.7
4488170.2
5827120.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393570100200300400500600153389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#24
140.90.6
143.6142.9
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
blue by 29.2
170.21.1
164.7165.8
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
4682
#35
114.30.5
116.0115.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.6
End10.8
blue by 16.4
2903
#11
130.71.6
126.8128.4
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
Third
5941
#25
111.20.3
112.5112.3
Auto13.4
Teleop87.7
End9.1
blue by 9.3
5827
#14
120.50.7
119.9119.2
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed