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Red402
4512126.2
1258112.6
3663152.6
Blue301
5941111.2
2928139.7
4450168.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295333200400500402301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.60.2
152.2152.0
Auto16.4
Teleop117.9
End20.5
blue by 15.9
4450
#13
168.50.6
167.4168.0
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
4512
#33
126.20.6
125.1124.6
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
blue by 13.5
139.72.1
135.4137.4
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
Third
1258
#27
112.60.0
112.6112.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.5
End11.7
red by 1.4
5941
#25
111.21.1
112.3111.2
Auto13.4
Teleop87.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed