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Red200
2903130.7
2980135.3
4683116.1
Blue415
4911177.5
2910199.2
5683117.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227429100300500600700200415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#29
135.30.6
134.7135.3
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End13.5
blue by 63.8
199.22.4
192.8195.2
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
Second
2903
#11
130.71.7
128.4130.1
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
blue by 46.8
177.50.6
176.2176.8
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
Third
4683
#31
116.11.5
114.6116.1
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
blue by 1.3
5683
#23
117.40.6
116.8117.4
Auto18.5
Teleop86.1
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed