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Red280
2522165.4
1294107.3
4077151.3
Blue170
4205123.5
3663152.6
2903130.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306291200250350400450280170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.41.2
143.2144.4
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
red by 12.8
152.60.5
145.6146.0
Auto16.4
Teleop117.9
End20.5
Second
151.31.8
135.2137.0
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
red by 20.6
2903
#11
130.70.0
118.8118.9
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
Third
1294
#16
107.30.5
108.3107.8
Auto15.0
Teleop79.1
End14.7
blue by 16.2
4205
#26
123.51.3
133.8132.6
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed