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Red419
1983153.9
2910199.2
5827120.5
Blue173
2930162.1
2522165.4
4205123.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386299200500600419173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.20.7
196.6197.2
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 33.8
165.40.6
164.3164.9
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
Second
153.90.2
152.9153.2
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
blue by 8.2
2930
#10
162.10.4
161.4161.8
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
Third
5827
#14
120.50.2
119.5119.8
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
blue by 3.0
4205
#26
123.50.1
123.5123.5
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1