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Red409
1983153.9
2910199.2
5827120.5
Blue313
2412145.4
4450168.5
3070141.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401296200500600700409313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.20.7
195.9196.6
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 30.7
4450
#13
168.50.1
168.3168.5
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
153.90.2
152.7152.9
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
red by 8.5
2412
#17
145.40.0
145.4145.4
Auto15.2
Teleop109.2
End20.7
Third
5827
#14
120.50.2
119.3119.5
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
blue by 20.6
3070
#18
141.10.1
141.0141.1
Auto21.6
Teleop102.0
End16.6