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Red327
1983153.9
2910199.2
5827120.5
Blue309
2930162.1
2522165.4
4205123.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391291200500600327309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.20.7
197.2197.9
Auto20.8
Teleop149.2
End32.1
red by 33.8
165.40.5
164.9165.4
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
Second
153.90.3
153.2153.5
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
blue by 8.2
2930
#10
162.10.3
161.8162.1
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
Third
5827
#14
120.50.3
119.8120.0
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
blue by 3.0
4205
#26
123.50.1
123.5123.5
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1