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Red418
4513193.5
5803182.7
6076124.6
Blue311
4980172.0
2990182.3
4692107.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3813290200600800418311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.50.3
193.9193.6
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
red by 11.2
182.30.2
181.9182.1
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
Second
182.70.0
182.7182.6
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
red by 10.6
172.00.5
171.0171.5
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
Third
6076
#19
124.60.1
124.3124.4
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
red by 17.0
4692
#22
107.60.1
107.4107.5
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2