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Red453
4513193.5
5803182.7
6076124.6
Blue269
4980172.0
2990182.3
4692107.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386328100200500600700800453269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.50.2
193.6193.5
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
red by 11.2
182.30.2
182.1182.3
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
Second
182.70.0
182.6182.7
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
red by 10.6
172.00.5
171.5172.0
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
Third
6076
#19
124.60.2
124.4124.6
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
red by 17.0
4692
#22
107.60.1
107.5107.6
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2