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Red464
4513193.5
5803182.7
6076124.6
Blue152
3223130.8
4608129.2
3220124.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422241100200300500600700464152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.50.4
195.8195.4
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
red by 62.6
3223
#15
130.80.2
131.3131.1
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
Second
182.70.0
182.9182.9
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
red by 53.4
4608
#14
129.20.1
129.2129.3
Auto17.8
Teleop93.0
End19.2
Third
6076
#19
124.60.2
123.5123.7
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
blue by 0.2
3220
#20
124.80.3
124.3124.6
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2