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Red229
4513193.5
5803182.7
6076124.6
Blue284
2147148.3
5920158.9
5295125.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4082960100200500600700229284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.50.3
195.1194.9
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
red by 34.6
158.90.6
157.1157.7
Auto23.7
Teleop121.6
End17.4
Second
182.70.0
182.9182.9
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
red by 34.3
148.30.4
147.3147.7
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
Third
6076
#19
124.60.2
123.9124.1
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
blue by 0.4
5295
#24
125.00.1
125.2125.1
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2