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Red418
2147148.3
5920158.9
5295125.0
Blue160
4089126.1
6442131.6
2148128.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332303200250350400450500550418160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.90.6
155.9156.4
Auto23.7
Teleop121.6
End17.4
red by 27.3
131.60.3
131.1131.4
Auto16.5
Teleop103.3
End12.0
Second
148.30.3
146.7147.0
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
red by 20.1
2148
#27
128.20.1
128.1128.2
Auto16.0
Teleop98.9
End13.1
Third
5295
#24
125.00.2
125.6125.3
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2
blue by 1.1
4089
#12
126.10.2
125.8126.0
Auto17.2
Teleop99.5
End6.6