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Red324
4980172.0
2990182.3
4692107.6
Blue267
4061155.3
1595134.0
4120117.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362296100200400500600324267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.30.1
181.5181.6
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
red by 27.0
4061
#10
155.30.0
155.3155.3
Auto27.4
Teleop110.5
End15.5
Second
172.00.6
169.0169.5
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
red by 38.1
134.00.7
131.9132.7
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
Third
4692
#22
107.60.0
107.5107.5
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2
blue by 10.3
4120
#16
117.90.4
116.9117.2
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2