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Red311
2147148.3
4726114.7
6442131.6
Blue307
5803182.7
1595134.0
2148128.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264351100200300400500600311307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.32.6
134.4137.0
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
blue by 34.3
182.71.5
175.0176.5
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
Second
131.60.9
121.7122.6
Auto16.5
Teleop103.3
End12.0
blue by 2.4
134.01.1
113.9115.1
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
Third
4726
#21
114.70.3
112.3112.0
Auto17.9
Teleop87.8
End12.1
blue by 13.5
2148
#27
128.20.7
121.6122.3
Auto16.0
Teleop98.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed