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Red257
6076124.6
4120117.9
5920158.9
Blue303
3223130.8
2944110.3
4608129.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27731202004006008001,000257303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.92.5
131.5134.1
Auto23.7
Teleop121.6
End17.4
red by 28.0
3223
#15
130.80.1
128.9128.7
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
Second
6076
#19
124.60.2
117.5117.7
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
blue by 4.7
4608
#14
129.20.6
133.7133.0
Auto17.8
Teleop93.0
End19.2
Third
4120
#16
117.90.8
104.5105.4
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
red by 7.6
2944
#18
110.31.9
108.0109.9
Auto19.3
Teleop83.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed