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Red110
358687.3
4495147.6
3876100.3
Blue469
1595134.0
2990182.3
3693114.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563580100200300400500600110469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.60.0
146.8146.7
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
blue by 34.7
182.30.7
175.9176.6
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
Second
3876
#23
100.30.2
106.6106.4
Auto14.4
Teleop75.6
End8.2
blue by 33.7
134.01.1
115.1116.1
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
Third
3586
#28
87.30.4
96.897.2
Auto12.5
Teleop68.1
End5.5
blue by 27.1
3693
#17
114.50.9
110.0110.9
Auto17.5
Teleop85.0
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed