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Red280
2148128.2
4980172.0
371289.0
Blue299
5295125.0
4089126.1
5803182.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253373100200300400500600280299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.02.0
151.1153.1
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
blue by 10.6
182.71.3
176.5177.8
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
Second
2148
#27
128.20.7
122.3123.0
Auto16.0
Teleop98.9
End13.1
red by 2.1
4089
#12
126.11.2
120.7121.9
Auto17.2
Teleop99.5
End6.6
Third
3712
#25
89.00.7
92.792.0
Auto15.0
Teleop67.5
End5.4
blue by 36.1
5295
#24
125.00.8
120.4121.2
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed