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Red247
2147148.3
3220124.8
3575113.6
Blue285
4061155.3
4104118.1
3223130.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613290100200400500600700247285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.32.4
137.0139.4
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
blue by 6.9
4061
#10
155.31.0
157.1158.0
Auto27.4
Teleop110.5
End15.5
Second
3220
#20
124.80.0
125.4125.4
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2
blue by 6.1
3223
#15
130.80.6
128.7129.3
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
Third
3575
#26
113.60.1
113.8113.9
Auto14.0
Teleop82.0
End19.9
blue by 4.4
4104
#13
118.10.0
119.0119.0
Auto13.9
Teleop93.8
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed