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Red261
4513193.5
2148128.2
4089126.1
Blue419
6076124.6
4495147.6
5920158.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369274100200300400500600261419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.51.8
189.4191.2
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
red by 34.6
158.93.2
136.5139.7
Auto23.7
Teleop121.6
End17.4
Second
2148
#27
128.21.0
123.0124.0
Auto16.0
Teleop98.9
End13.1
blue by 19.4
147.61.1
146.7145.6
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
Third
4089
#12
126.10.1
123.0123.1
Auto17.2
Teleop99.5
End6.6
red by 1.5
6076
#19
124.60.4
118.3117.9
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed