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Red201
2944110.3
371289.0
2990182.3
Blue264
6442131.6
4608129.2
2147148.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285306100200400500600201264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.31.4
178.0179.4
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
red by 33.9
148.31.7
141.1142.8
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
Second
2944
#18
110.30.7
112.2112.9
Auto19.3
Teleop83.1
End8.6
blue by 21.3
131.60.4
124.0124.4
Auto16.5
Teleop103.3
End12.0
Third
3712
#25
89.00.1
91.991.8
Auto15.0
Teleop67.5
End5.4
blue by 40.3
4608
#14
129.20.7
133.2132.6
Auto17.8
Teleop93.0
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed