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Red220
3876100.3
2148128.2
3220124.8
Blue256
4104118.1
1595134.0
4726114.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273299100150200250350400450500220256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2148
#27
128.20.6
124.0124.6
Auto16.0
Teleop98.9
End13.1
blue by 5.8
134.01.9
117.7119.6
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
Second
3220
#20
124.81.2
125.2124.0
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2
red by 6.7
4104
#13
118.10.3
118.6118.4
Auto13.9
Teleop93.8
End10.4
Third
3876
#23
100.31.4
105.2103.8
Auto14.4
Teleop75.6
End8.2
blue by 14.4
4726
#21
114.70.9
111.7112.6
Auto17.9
Teleop87.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed