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Red261
3575113.6
5295125.0
4120117.9
Blue261
3693114.5
4692107.6
4061155.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242326100200400500600261261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5295
#24
125.0
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2
blue by 30.3
4061
#10
155.3
Auto27.4
Teleop110.5
End15.5
Second
4120
#16
117.9
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
red by 3.4
3693
#17
114.5
Auto17.5
Teleop85.0
End14.5
Third
3575
#26
113.6
Auto14.0
Teleop82.0
End19.9
red by 6.1
4692
#22
107.6
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed