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Red228
4608129.2
4495147.6
2990182.3
Blue490
4980172.0
5803182.7
5295125.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342368200250300400450500550600228490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.30.7
179.4180.1
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
blue by 0.4
182.70.9
180.0181.0
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
Second
147.60.3
145.8146.1
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
blue by 24.5
172.01.8
157.0158.9
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
Third
4608
#14
129.20.1
132.6132.5
Auto17.8
Teleop93.0
End19.2
red by 4.2
5295
#24
125.01.8
122.0123.9
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed