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Red265
4692107.6
3223130.8
5920158.9
Blue398
3693114.5
4513193.5
3220124.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283345100200400500600265398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.93.7
139.7143.4
Auto23.7
Teleop121.6
End17.4
blue by 34.6
193.51.1
191.2192.3
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
Second
3223
#15
130.80.3
129.4129.7
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
red by 6.1
3220
#20
124.81.1
124.0122.9
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2
Third
4692
#22
107.60.1
106.5106.4
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2
blue by 6.9
3693
#17
114.50.8
112.4113.2
Auto17.5
Teleop85.0
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed