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Red305
4608129.2
4980172.0
4726114.7
Blue314
3876100.3
2147148.3
4513193.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295354200400500600305314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.01.6
160.8162.4
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
blue by 21.4
193.50.9
193.7194.7
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
Second
4608
#14
129.20.8
131.8131.1
Auto17.8
Teleop93.0
End19.2
blue by 19.1
148.30.2
145.4145.6
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
Third
4726
#21
114.70.0
113.6113.6
Auto17.9
Teleop87.8
End12.1
red by 14.4
3876
#23
100.30.6
101.1100.5
Auto14.4
Teleop75.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed