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Red244
2944110.3
5803182.7
4692107.6
Blue369
3223130.8
1595134.0
4495147.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3193050100200400500600700244369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.70.8
182.2183.0
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
red by 35.1
147.60.1
145.8145.7
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
Second
2944
#18
110.31.2
112.2111.0
Auto19.3
Teleop83.1
End8.6
blue by 23.7
134.02.0
123.8125.7
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
Third
4692
#22
107.60.0
106.4106.4
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2
blue by 23.3
3223
#15
130.80.1
130.0130.1
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed