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Red435
4120117.9
358687.3
2990182.3
Blue235
4726114.7
6076124.6
3220124.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320275150200250300350400450500435235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.30.1
180.0180.2
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
red by 57.5
3220
#20
124.80.2
122.1122.3
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2
Second
4120
#16
117.91.4
111.3112.7
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
blue by 6.7
6076
#19
124.60.7
121.7122.4
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
Third
3586
#28
87.31.9
92.190.2
Auto12.5
Teleop68.1
End5.5
blue by 27.4
4726
#21
114.70.4
113.6114.0
Auto17.9
Teleop87.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed