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Red339
4089126.1
4692107.6
2147148.3
Blue198
5803182.7
3693114.5
371289.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29030702004006008001,0001,2001,400339198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.30.0
146.1146.1
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
blue by 34.3
182.70.6
183.0183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
Second
4089
#12
126.10.6
123.1123.7
Auto17.2
Teleop99.5
End6.6
red by 11.6
3693
#17
114.50.4
115.3115.6
Auto17.5
Teleop85.0
End14.5
Third
4692
#22
107.60.0
106.4106.4
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2
red by 18.6
3712
#25
89.00.2
90.490.3
Auto15.0
Teleop67.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed