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Red407
4980172.0
3220124.8
1595134.0
Blue265
4120117.9
6442131.6
2944110.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365256100200300400500600407265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.01.7
164.1165.8
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
red by 40.5
131.60.9
129.0129.9
Auto16.5
Teleop103.3
End12.0
Second
134.01.1
127.9129.0
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
red by 16.1
4120
#16
117.91.8
112.7114.4
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
Third
3220
#20
124.80.1
122.3122.4
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2
red by 14.5
2944
#18
110.30.1
110.1110.1
Auto19.3
Teleop83.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed