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Red215
1595134.0
5295125.0
4692107.6
Blue426
2990182.3
5920158.9
4513193.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1834380100300400500600700215426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.00.9
113.1113.9
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
blue by 59.5
193.52.0
182.6184.7
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
Second
5295
#24
125.00.5
119.9120.4
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2
blue by 57.2
182.30.6
174.5175.1
Auto29.1
Teleop137.4
End17.3
Third
4692
#22
107.62.1
110.6108.5
Auto16.0
Teleop82.5
End8.2
blue by 51.3
158.92.0
127.5129.5
Auto23.7
Teleop121.6
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed