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Red263
4120117.9
4726114.7
4061155.3
Blue308
6129100.7
2944110.3
2147148.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122360100200400500263308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#10
155.31.2
155.9157.1
Auto27.4
Teleop110.5
End15.5
red by 6.9
148.31.9
132.4134.4
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
Second
4120
#16
117.90.3
103.9104.2
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
red by 7.6
2944
#18
110.30.2
106.5106.8
Auto19.3
Teleop83.1
End8.6
Third
4726
#21
114.70.4
112.8112.3
Auto17.9
Teleop87.8
End12.1
red by 14.0
6129
#11
100.70.5
84.685.1
Auto14.3
Teleop77.2
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed