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Red161
2915117.4
2926102.2
3693108.8
Blue324
4608133.9
3575113.2
3218145.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472840100200400500600161324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2915
#24
117.411.7
94.4106.1
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
blue by 27.9
145.411.3
99.9111.1
Auto15.9
Teleop112.4
End20.8
Second
3693
#25
108.86.5
92.498.9
Auto16.2
Teleop83.5
End10.3
blue by 25.1
4608
#13
133.99.4
88.998.2
Auto17.8
Teleop99.1
End18.8
Third
2926
#27
102.28.4
86.394.8
Auto13.0
Teleop81.3
End9.2
blue by 11.0
3575
#14
113.213.6
77.290.8
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed