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Red152
371292.1
2944107.3
5450113.8
Blue184
5920126.1
3220124.3
612985.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274258100150200300350400450152184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5450
#30
113.87.1
103.3110.4
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1
blue by 12.3
5920
#12
126.18.4
100.3108.7
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
Second
2944
#20
107.312.9
88.9101.8
Auto16.3
Teleop85.7
End3.8
blue by 16.9
3220
#18
124.38.3
87.796.0
Auto14.7
Teleop92.6
End18.9
Third
3712
#28
92.17.3
83.090.3
Auto12.3
Teleop72.5
End9.0
red by 7.0
6129
#29
85.17.2
84.892.0
Auto11.2
Teleop72.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed