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Red351
4980146.0
1318190.3
6076118.3
Blue210
5468147.0
5920126.1
4726111.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330241100200300400500351210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.32.7
168.9171.5
Auto21.7
Teleop139.5
End29.1
red by 43.3
5468
#16
147.00.6
144.2144.8
Auto17.1
Teleop116.5
End13.8
Second
4980
#17
146.07.4
116.6124.0
Auto20.2
Teleop106.9
End20.2
red by 19.9
5920
#12
126.11.8
113.7115.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
Third
6076
#21
118.31.4
98.8100.1
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.1
red by 6.5
4726
#26
111.81.8
107.3109.1
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed