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Red177
3218145.4
2926102.2
4125129.9
Blue327
6831151.6
2944107.3
3826136.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443210100200400500177327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.47.3
120.6127.9
Auto15.9
Teleop112.4
End20.8
blue by 6.2
151.61.1
143.2144.3
Auto18.7
Teleop119.5
End15.2
Second
129.91.5
133.2131.6
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
blue by 6.3
3826
#11
136.20.9
138.1137.2
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
Third
2926
#27
102.21.3
98.299.6
Auto13.0
Teleop81.3
End9.2
blue by 5.2
2944
#20
107.33.1
108.7111.8
Auto16.3
Teleop85.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed