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Red277
3218145.4
6076118.3
5450113.8
Blue323
1318190.3
3223129.3
358698.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245330100200300400500277323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.40.6
134.4133.8
Auto15.9
Teleop112.4
End20.8
blue by 44.9
190.32.3
175.9178.2
Auto21.7
Teleop139.5
End29.1
Second
6076
#21
118.32.3
106.7109.0
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.1
blue by 11.0
3223
#19
129.31.0
119.5120.5
Auto17.0
Teleop98.0
End14.2
Third
5450
#30
113.80.8
115.1115.9
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1
red by 15.9
3586
#31
98.02.8
101.798.9
Auto12.1
Teleop76.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed