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Red169
3826136.2
2926102.2
4495144.2
Blue223
2522143.3
4061155.6
2148118.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269327100200300400500169223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.23.9
137.5141.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End17.2
blue by 11.4
155.63.1
140.1143.2
Auto25.8
Teleop110.3
End20.1
Second
3826
#11
136.20.0
135.2135.2
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
blue by 7.1
2522
#10
143.36.5
139.3145.8
Auto20.3
Teleop110.2
End9.7
Third
2926
#27
102.22.5
100.0102.4
Auto13.0
Teleop81.3
End9.2
blue by 16.7
118.81.0
110.4111.4
Auto14.9
Teleop96.0
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed