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Red190
4104117.5
358698.0
4980146.0
Blue299
3711166.7
3223129.3
4495144.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323240100200400500190299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#17
146.014.8
85.7100.4
Auto20.2
Teleop106.9
End20.2
blue by 20.7
166.70.1
145.5145.7
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
Second
4104
#22
117.517.8
58.876.6
Auto12.4
Teleop95.9
End7.0
blue by 26.7
144.215.8
76.592.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End17.2
Third
3586
#31
98.016.9
66.383.2
Auto12.1
Teleop76.1
End9.6
blue by 31.4
3223
#19
129.315.3
80.996.2
Auto17.0
Teleop98.0
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed