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Red321
2522143.3
2915117.4
3218145.4
Blue174
5450113.8
3826136.2
5468147.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623340100200300400500321174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.414.8
85.099.9
Auto15.9
Teleop112.4
End20.8
blue by 1.6
5468
#16
147.00.0
145.4145.4
Auto17.1
Teleop116.5
End13.8
Second
2522
#10
143.314.1
91.6105.8
Auto20.3
Teleop110.2
End9.7
red by 7.1
3826
#11
136.21.1
138.1139.2
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
Third
2915
#24
117.415.5
78.894.4
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
red by 3.6
5450
#30
113.814.4
88.9103.3
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed