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Red381
2944107.3
2811198.3
4980146.0
Blue158
358698.0
3711166.7
4726111.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326258100200300400500600381158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.30.5
176.5177.0
Auto24.0
Teleop157.6
End15.4
red by 31.6
166.70.6
145.7146.3
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
Second
4980
#17
146.08.4
100.4108.8
Auto20.2
Teleop106.9
End20.2
red by 34.2
4726
#26
111.812.6
88.3101.0
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End8.8
Third
2944
#20
107.316.2
72.788.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.7
End3.8
red by 9.4
3586
#31
98.09.8
83.293.0
Auto12.1
Teleop76.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed