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Red182
6831151.6
4120103.9
3223129.3
Blue321
4104117.5
4125129.9
5468147.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292275150200250350400450182321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.60.7
142.2143.0
Auto18.7
Teleop119.5
End15.2
red by 4.6
5468
#16
147.00.9
145.4144.5
Auto17.1
Teleop116.5
End13.8
Second
3223
#19
129.311.6
96.2107.8
Auto17.0
Teleop98.0
End14.2
blue by 0.6
129.90.6
134.3133.7
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
Third
4120
#23
103.97.7
78.085.7
Auto13.3
Teleop79.3
End12.0
blue by 13.6
4104
#22
117.510.4
76.686.9
Auto12.4
Teleop95.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed