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Red310
3588126.1
2148118.8
5468147.0
Blue214
4608133.9
4495144.2
358698.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982740100200400500310214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#16
147.00.1
146.2146.3
Auto17.1
Teleop116.5
End13.8
red by 2.8
144.21.1
141.3142.5
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End17.2
Second
3588
#15
126.12.8
118.0120.7
Auto14.4
Teleop95.7
End14.7
blue by 7.8
4608
#13
133.92.7
130.4133.2
Auto17.8
Teleop99.1
End18.8
Third
118.80.1
111.4111.6
Auto14.9
Teleop96.0
End10.7
red by 20.9
3586
#31
98.00.5
98.998.4
Auto12.1
Teleop76.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed