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Red376
3826136.2
4104117.5
3220124.3
Blue162
5920126.1
2915117.4
5450113.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310248100200400500376162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#11
136.20.5
135.2134.7
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
red by 10.1
5920
#12
126.11.6
120.2121.9
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
Second
3220
#18
124.34.1
114.4118.5
Auto14.7
Teleop92.6
End18.9
red by 6.8
2915
#24
117.40.0
119.2119.2
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
Third
4104
#22
117.53.3
111.8115.1
Auto12.4
Teleop95.9
End7.0
red by 3.7
5450
#30
113.80.9
117.4118.3
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed