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Red143
2944107.3
4608133.9
4125129.9
Blue353
4061155.6
3588126.1
3826136.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323490100200300400500143353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4608
#13
133.91.3
133.2134.5
Auto17.8
Teleop99.1
End18.8
blue by 21.7
155.62.5
144.7147.1
Auto25.8
Teleop110.3
End20.1
Second
129.90.1
129.1129.0
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
blue by 6.3
3826
#11
136.20.3
134.7134.4
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
Third
2944
#20
107.32.4
114.2111.8
Auto16.3
Teleop85.7
End3.8
blue by 18.8
3588
#15
126.12.4
120.7123.1
Auto14.4
Teleop95.7
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed