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Red107
3575113.2
358698.0
2926102.2
Blue351
3223129.3
612985.1
2811198.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1693670100200300400500107351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3575
#14
113.22.3
120.0117.6
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
blue by 85.1
198.32.5
190.1192.6
Auto24.0
Teleop157.6
End15.4
Second
2926
#27
102.20.5
100.9101.4
Auto13.0
Teleop81.3
End9.2
blue by 27.2
3223
#19
129.33.1
122.5125.5
Auto17.0
Teleop98.0
End14.2
Third
3586
#31
98.00.7
98.497.6
Auto12.1
Teleop76.1
End9.6
red by 12.9
6129
#29
85.12.9
90.587.7
Auto11.2
Teleop72.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed