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Red202
3220124.3
6076118.3
5468147.0
Blue368
3711166.7
2915117.4
4125129.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303304220260280320340360202368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#16
147.00.6
146.7147.3
Auto17.1
Teleop116.5
End13.8
blue by 19.7
166.72.1
154.6156.8
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
Second
3220
#18
124.32.8
118.5121.2
Auto14.7
Teleop92.6
End18.9
blue by 5.7
129.90.6
129.0128.4
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
Third
6076
#21
118.32.5
114.5117.0
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.1
red by 0.8
2915
#24
117.40.9
119.2118.3
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed